🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

Schlog · 2024-03-27 22:16:53

Bobithan wrote:

I'm going to hope that onjit is able to find a sub for diff for d3
Also didn't you just say diff is probably the pr

yeah but he might as well be nothing if he isn't going to use night actions or help us get majority

i would REALLY like him to get subbed so i don't feel compelled to vote him

Processor · 2024-03-27 22:17:32

just to clarify this:

I said "I am happy to provide the hammer on pqwerty"
which means that I would vote for pqwerty if y'all urge me to it, even if I am unconvinced by it, because this is currently essentially a 5 player game and the 4-vote-requirement is crippling town's decision making ability

Schlog · 2024-03-27 22:18:19

(not to mention we dont really have that much time left and onjit is going to probably be asleep until the next day)

Bobithan · 2024-03-27 22:20:43

Well, it'll be hard for me to bring the hammer down on anybody but pqwerty tonight but schlog you're kind of all over the place, to the point where eh maybe I would be the last vote on you. I think I haven't given you enough credit this game, you totally could be playing a solid scum game.

Bobithan · 2024-03-27 22:27:47

btw how much time do I have to convince you proc? Because Idk how late you're willing to stay up in Europe to lock in your vote. I think schlog, n1kf, pqwerty and I will all be available until the end of day but it'd be nice to know for you proc since we're pretty much all the swing vote here.

Processor · 2024-03-27 22:32:01

Honestly a Pqwerty + N1KF duo seems likely (I see a resistance in N1KF voting for Pqwerty), so I'm happy to test it

!vote Pqwerty

Processor · 2024-03-27 22:35:10

Votes:
- Pqwerty (2): Bobithan, Processor
- Different55 (1): Edilights
- Bobithan (1): Pqwerty

Processor · 2024-03-27 22:40:45

I'm still up for 80 min; but happy to set an alarm and switch my vote on whatever is L-1 at 5:55 am my time

N1KF · 2024-03-27 22:40:53

6 hours and 19 minutes remaining.

Votes:

Pqwerty (2): Bobithan (#85), Processor (#131)
Different55 (1): Edilights (#86), N1KF (#103)
Bobithan (1): Pqwerty (#107)
N1KF: Processor (#112)

pedit: lol ninja'd

Processor

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 22:41:48

I don't get it. Why aren't we on Bobithan for making such a bad case on me and why do people believe them? He's turning against his townreads (me and Edilights) all of a sudden and he literally made a list of people he wants to mischop next.

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 22:43:58

Like Bobithan's case is literally just based on hypotheticals and nitpicking and misunderstanding. I've made quite a few posts showing that it doesn't hold up to scrutiny so why are we still believing them?

Processor · 2024-03-27 22:46:16

@Pqwerty: How do you feel about lynching N1KF?

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 22:48:37

I mean, N1KF is in a similar boat to Bobithan for me since they had a bunch of hypotheticals, but N1KF hasn't suddenly turned against me like Bobithan has. What makes you think N1KF?

Schlog · 2024-03-27 22:49:00

i really think there's still a possibility of this being a simple deflection tactic, and i think it's smarter to go for diff to ensure all of our votes count on day 3 so i'm going to vote him for now

if diff gets voted out today, i'll vote pqwerty tmrw and if n1kf changes his mind and swaps to pqwerty, i will too

!vote Different55

Schlog · 2024-03-27 22:49:49

i will retract my vote on diff completely if he gets subbed btw

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 22:50:11

Has it been a N1KF Bobithan team this whole time? They were both on Buzzerbee yesterday and all they'd have to do is convince you and Schlog to vote me to win the game.

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 22:53:10

Like, first off, does anyone think that the wolf team is inactive? I don't. so there's a wolf among the 5 of us I think.

They both thought Zumza could've been a PR-hunting kill so they both did fall for the bait if they were mafia.

N1KF · 2024-03-27 22:58:27

oops I only counted one vote for Different55.

Pqwerty wrote:

Like Bobithan's case is literally just based on hypotheticals and nitpicking and misunderstanding. I've made quite a few posts showing that it doesn't hold up to scrutiny so why are we still believing them?

Yeah I agree some of Bobithan's statements could be dismissed as nitpicking or misunderstanding. But some of them are directly your responsibility (like describing BuzzerBee as calling me a "nothing role"), and the Babysitter being a problem was unlikely as I explained in #103.

Pqwerty wrote:

Has it been a N1KF Bobithan team this whole time? They were both on Buzzerbee yesterday and all they'd have to do is convince you and Schlog to vote me to win the game.

There are 7 players. 5 Townies, and 2 Scum.

If 2 Townies get killed by day vote and night, there will be 3 Townies and 2 Scum. The Townies would still outnumber Mafia unless a Mafia 1-Shot Juggernaut (1/3 chance) used their ability.

I'll try calculating the odds of Town losing Night 2.

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 22:59:50

@Peoxwaaoe I still think it's Bobithan but N1KF could possibly be partnered with Bobithan so I'm not opposed to voting N1KF if you're more confident about a N1KF vote.

Processor · 2024-03-27 23:00:01

I personally consider the probability of the number of scum among the Buzz voters [Schlog, Pqwerty, N1KF, Bobithan] to be

0 Scum: 0 %
1 Scum: 50 %
2 Scum: 50 %

=> 1.5 expected scum members among [Schlog, Pqwerty, N1KF, Bobithan]

I therefore estimate the number of scum among [Diff, Edi (, Proc)] to be 0.5

I therefore think it is much more fruitful to lynch one of the [Schlog, Pqwerty, N1KF, Bobithan]

Additionally, a lynch on an inactive member does not produce any reads for further investigation, where as a lynch on an active member gives us more to work with.

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 23:01:18

@Processor* jeez im so tired

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 23:02:47

Processor is your reason for townreading Bobithan because they're playing too boldly, or why do you still tr them?

Pqwerty · 2024-03-27 23:04:21

@N1KF sometimes the calculations are helpful but unless you have time to both calculate and solve I'd really prefer that you prioritized solving over calculating and summarizing.

Schlog · 2024-03-27 23:05:20

Processor wrote:

I personally consider the probability of the number of scum among the Buzz voters [Schlog, Pqwerty, N1KF, Bobithan] to be
0 Scum: 0 %
1 Scum: 50 %
2 Scum: 50 %
=> 1.5 expected scum members among [Schlog, Pqwerty, N1KF, Bobithan]
I therefore estimate the number of scum among [Diff, Edi (, Proc)] to be 0.5
I therefore think it is much more fruitful to lynch one of the [Schlog, Pqwerty, N1KF, Bobithan]
Additionally, a lynch on an inactive member does not produce any reads for further investigation, where as a lynch on an active member gives us more to work with.

Processor wrote:

Additionally, a lynch on an inactive member does not produce any reads for further investigation, where as a lynch on an active member gives us more to work with.

i understand that much, but there's only going to be 3 town tomorrow assuming we ML, and if one of them is diff, then the game's just over unless he decides to act. even edilight's random voting is better than literally nothing

the likelihood of him getting subbed in is extremely low because the day ends in 6 hours and onjit will be at work the entire time

if it were like one day before or we had more players then i would definitely go for an active player

Schlog · 2024-03-27 23:05:41

mfw quote twice on accident L

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#126 2024-03-27 22:16:53

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#127 2024-03-27 22:17:32

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#128 2024-03-27 22:18:19

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#129 2024-03-27 22:20:43

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#130 2024-03-27 22:27:47

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#131 2024-03-27 22:32:01

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

!vote Pqwerty

#132 2024-03-27 22:35:10

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#133 2024-03-27 22:40:45

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#134 2024-03-27 22:40:53

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#135 2024-03-27 22:41:48

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#136 2024-03-27 22:43:58

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#137 2024-03-27 22:46:16

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#138 2024-03-27 22:48:37

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#139 2024-03-27 22:49:00

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

!vote Different55

#140 2024-03-27 22:49:49

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#141 2024-03-27 22:50:11

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#142 2024-03-27 22:53:10

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#143 2024-03-27 22:58:27

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#144 2024-03-27 22:59:50

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#145 2024-03-27 23:00:01

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#146 2024-03-27 23:01:18

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#147 2024-03-27 23:02:47

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#148 2024-03-27 23:04:21

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#149 2024-03-27 23:05:20

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

#150 2024-03-27 23:05:41

Re: 🕐🕑🕒🕓🕔🕕 Mafia 56 (Clock Mafia) 🕖🕗🕘🕙🕚🕛

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