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#626 2019-10-24 03:10:35
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
Sure, I'll claim then
I'm actually the Serial Killer, night 1 & 2 i did nothing to try to throw people off about the setup
The setup is actually DVTTTTT
If you keep me alive today I'll kill a mafia tonight and you guys will have a chance
If you lynch me today, mafia wins
:.|:;
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#627 2019-10-24 03:14:34
- NoNK
- Member
- Joined: 2019-07-13
- Posts: 920
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
Okay so what's the probability that you're still mafia and you somehow mechanically know that there's no serial killer but you claimed that to throw us off further and just endgame us right here
Diff could you run the math on that? Do mafia have some way of knowing there's no serial killer based on the claims so far?
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#628 2019-10-24 03:14:48
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
there was a lot of time elapsed between you becoming consensus suspect and you claiming.
just tacking this comment on because i wanted to laugh at you in australian for forgetting my timezone
oƃuoɹp ƃuᴉʞɐǝɹɟ ɐ ʇɐɥʍ ɐɥɐɥɐɥɥɐɥɐɥɐɥ
:.|:;
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#629 2019-10-24 03:16:21
#630 2019-10-24 03:17:28
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
Okay so what's the probability that you're still mafia and you somehow mechanically know that there's no serial killer but you claimed that to throw us off further and just endgame us right here
Diff could you run the math on that? Do mafia have some way of knowing there's no serial killer based on the claims so far?
This is why I didn't just claim SK to begin with - You've decided that I'm mafia and that anything to the contrary is a lie
There aren't going to be any more claims btw, anyone that does is lying and should be targeted immediately
:.|:;
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#631 2019-10-24 03:20:44
- NoNK
- Member
- Joined: 2019-07-13
- Posts: 920
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
So if onjit is serial killer then the setup is
DVTTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
That means that there are only 2 mafia, meaning if we lynch onjit today we don't lose the game because
8 alive (5 vs. 2 vs. 1) -- lynch --> 7 alive (5 vs. 2) -- nightkill --> (4 vs. 2)
But if onjit is lying about being the serial killer and there are 3 mafia then onjit is mafia so we can lynch him anyways
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#632 2019-10-24 03:21:15
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#633 2019-10-24 03:27:54
- Wooted by:
#634 2019-10-24 03:30:22
#635 2019-10-24 03:33:40
- Wooted by:
#636 2019-10-24 03:45:16
- NoNK
- Member
- Joined: 2019-07-13
- Posts: 920
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
Assuming onjit flips SK and not Ultra Meme Mafia Man, that would make different55 confirmed town and almost certainly going to die tonight
If we could hold off hammering onjit until Diff checks in and maybe posts reads that would be cool
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#637 2019-10-24 03:50:37
#638 2019-10-24 03:53:49
#639 2019-10-24 03:54:03
#640 2019-10-24 03:55:18
#641 2019-10-24 03:56:03
#642 2019-10-24 04:04:13
#643 2019-10-24 04:12:29
- NoNK
- Member
- Joined: 2019-07-13
- Posts: 920
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
NoNK wrote:good reaction test I rate 10/10
Stop bullshitting us fdoou.
I know you're the godfather.
Yo if you can't see that I'm town by now literally just ISO me and watch as your opinion changes instantly as you are overwhelmed by my overpowering town aura.
I'm not going to be around much tomorrow because I've got a midterm. My vote remains on Onjit. Let different55 hammer him when he's ready.
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#644 2019-10-24 04:23:45
#645 2019-10-24 04:31:09
#646 2019-10-24 04:34:25
#647 2019-10-24 05:26:04
- Different55
- Forum Admin
- Joined: 2015-02-07
- Posts: 16,575
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
man I step away for a few hours because games gone dead and what do I come back to
alright uhhh
Given the apparent lack of SK, DV?TTTT is still most likely.
If Onjit flips SK, there's most likely no more power roles, giving us DVTTTTT. There would only be 2 mafia in that case, so they'd be aware of a SK.
There's also the possibility of DV??TTT, giving us 3 mafia and a SK. There are most likely no more Vs in there. Considering I'm one-shot, there could only be 2 Vs and the possibility of 3 Vs in total is very low. Other PRs are possible in just about any combination. Mafia might not be aware of a SK. We should have an extra 1-2 PRs (if there's a one-shot doc or even another full doc in there, pls save me) in that case.
Maf can be sure an SK exists in some situations, but they can't be sure that one doesn't.
My bet is still DV?TTTT and Onjit's screwing with us as much as he can on his way out. But I would (and did) say the same about Kira yesterday. Either way the odds seem to be in favor of 3 enemies to take out, and Onjit's definitely one of them.
As far as reads, heck if I know.
2. mrjawapa - No idea
3. ZeldaXD - nonk brought up some good points about them. avoiding sticking to both wagons. then pointing out the people who didn't. I'd lean towards scum.
6. Onjit - scum
7. TaskManager - also scum, no real reason but he needs to die.
8. Daneeko - definitely scum but maybe just a newbie.
9. ShadowsEdge - Onjit claimed and tried to push them as maf. Considering he still seemed like he was trying to win at this point, that makes we want to say they're probably town and he was trying to go for that mislynch.
12. Different55 - cool dude
13. NoNK - sure acts town-y. at least today seems like he's putting in a *lot* of effort to try and solve this for town.
so basically beyond Onjit I have no idea.
"Sometimes failing a leap of faith is better than inching forward"
- ShinsukeIto
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#648 2019-10-24 05:51:25
- daneeko
- Member
- From: EE Universe
- Joined: 2015-02-20
- Posts: 2,245
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
Onjit wrote:dude but imagine if he WAS mafia and pulling a fast one on us this WHOLE TIME
wouldn't that be wild
I would have a stroke.
@Daneeko what is your role?
? vanilla townie ?
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#649 2019-10-24 06:20:36
- ShadowsEdge
- Member
- From: somewhere in space ig
- Joined: 2018-11-06
- Posts: 1,010
Re: Mafia 33 [Friday Wins!]
Alright, sorry I'm here now. I had to do more personal stuff afterschool so I couldn't post until around now.
My reasonings for believing that Daneeko is town is because he's been faced against multiple attempts of badgering his playstyle (Following town leaders), and never really showed any signs of changing his playstyle to match what others expected of him. He stuck to his own playstyle, despite being regarded as scum for it. If he really was scum, his teammates would have likely badgered him to change his playstyle to be seen less as scum, which is why I don't believe he is scum. Another part of it, which is more just a feeling, is that his playstyle just mimicks how Peace played as VT in TFR.
Considering that Onjit claimed Serial Killer, Onjit would likely be, objectively, the best candidate for today's lynch, unless we can confidently assume that Onjit is siding with the Town. Because whether or not Onjit sides with the town will be essential. If Onjit decides to kill a town, then we'd lose two town tonight, and if there's a mislynch today, then there'd be three town lost in a short amount of time. And I don't really want to chance that.
With that said, I don't think we should lynch Onjit just yet, Onjit will likely be the best candidate for today's lynch, for the reasoning above, but the discussion time is important.
As far as discussion goes, I don't have major suspicions on anyone. But I've been clear about who my townreads are (Daneeko, and slight townlean towards Zelda), now being added onto that is Different, because they've claimed One-shot Vig, and have been generally helpful throughout the game.
Anyone else (Jawapa, Task, NoNK) is subject to investigation and interrogation (Not really investigation because I don't know if we have a cop, but you get what I mean). If Onjit is telling the truth in that the setup is DVTTTTT, and my assumptions of townreads are true, in that list of players, two of those players will flip Mafia.
I don't have all too much to say about Jawapa, I don't have all that much suspicion against them, but I also don't have that much reason to believe they're town. Taskmanager holds something of a similar trait. They do sort of feel like they're town, but I know from Mafia 31 that they're capable of pulling the deception game if they need to. NoNK follows a similar trait to Taskmanager, where they give off town vibes, but I don't want to instantly regard them as town, since it's been my experience that people who are generally townread shouldn't be instantly considered town (See me in TFR, and Onjit this game).
I guess this is just becoming something common to do now:
See first paragraph for why I think Daneeko is town. Onjit will likely be the best candidate for today's lynch, but there should still be discussion time. I don't have strong suspicions, but removing my general townreads, I believe the scum team are in Jawapa, Taskmanager, and NoNK, but with not many suspicions against any of the three at the moment.
I don't have too much else to say, I don't know what the votecount is, so I wont be voting just yet, so that the time for discussion can continue and whatnot. I have to get back to doing homework and such now. I'll be able to respond for a while if I'm needed, but I'll probably be heading to sleep in about an hour or two.
Don't ask me what I'm doing, I don't even know what I'm doing.
~BeepnBoop
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#650 2019-10-24 06:31:29
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