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#1 2019-12-22 04:09:52, last edited by ShadowsEdge (2020-01-07 02:25:54)

ShadowsEdge
Member
From: somewhere in space ig
Joined: 2018-11-06
Posts: 1,010

Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

The Twelve Days of Christmas
Background

Santa Claus is coming to town! As the town raises the masses to celebrate the evergrowing Christmas Spirit, a threatening force beckons.. A set of Scrooges hidden within the town have risen, and forces against all that Christmas stands for beckon in the way of the Christmas Celebration. Christmas is coming, and these spirits threaten to destroy the very nature of Christmas itself. It's up to you to stop these evil beings, and take back Christmas!

Plurality lynch will take effect. Overtime will not take effect. In other words, if there is a highest votee, they will take the rope, if there is a tie, or no vote, then no one will take the rope.

Rules

1. Respect everyone. Mafia is a game meant for fun.
2. Gamethrowing is not allowed.
3. Discussing the game outside of this thread, or any moderator-sanctioned threads, is not allowed.
4. This will be my modtext color. Refrain from using it.
5. Try to actively participate in discussion. If you're inactive for more than 24 hours, you will be prodded for inactivity. After 24 more hours, you will be subject to replacement.
6. If you are killed, use the Graveyard thread.
7. Make night actions via a PM to me.
8. If you know of anyone breaking the rules, PM me with proof and I will deal with it.

Roles
Roles
Setup
Setup
Players

1. ZeldaXD
4. Onjit
6. Mutantdevle
8. GregBot
9. HugoTse (Revived)
11. AllenCaspe9510
13. Pqwerty

Graveyard

Raprap (Caroler)
NorwegianboyEE (Caroler)
Peace (Stickler)
Crybaby (Caroler)
2B55B5G TNG (Stickler)
Kira (Gremlin)


Don't ask me what I'm doing, I don't even know what I'm doing.

   ~BeepnBoop

Forums_Signature-1.png_3.png

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#2 2019-12-22 06:51:14

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

So, I think if 2 people die tonight, it’s going to be confirmed that we have a Krampus because I don’t think Vig would waste a shot N1.

1 person dying doesn’t confirm anything, though.

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#3 2019-12-29 06:10:53

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Peace, what makes you think Hugo is Rudolph? I'm pretty sure what Hugo meant in post #186 is the longer he lives, the more scummier he'll look. And I'm pretty sure it was a joke. I don't see Hugo as a Rudolph. He's still alive, why don't we ask him?

Hugo what did you mean in post #186?

Also Gregbot, this isn't a big deal but why did you ask Norweg if lynching Hugo was a good idea (post #54) and then tell people to not policy lynch Hugo?

I understand that your reasons for lynching Hugo now are because Peace and Allen (the Jester) are both vehemently defending him, but what caused the switch between asking if lynching him was a good idea and not wanting to policy lynch him? Was it just the D1 lack of information causing you to randomly pick someone?

This is a message for Gregbot only

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#4 2019-12-29 06:21:31

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

#89 was the post where Gregbot didn't want a policy lynch on Hugo. Sorry for not citing.

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#5 2019-12-31 08:47:18

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Lynch Gregbot

In #130, he says that he wants to lynch peace (because peace wanted to lynch raprap over Hugo). He continues in #143 to say that peace and Hugo are potentially scum partners. When the town said to lynch peace instead, he was okay with the lynch on peace (#258).

However, 2 hours before the end of the day, Gregbot unlynches peace (#293).

The only reason he would do that is because he was defending peace. He didn't want to lynch one of his partners.

He can't argue that he unlynched because he was trying to get more discussion going (or to get the carolers to pick their target) before the end of the day because there were only 2 hours left on the timer and the town has been extremely inactive. There's no way that the town would get any use out of 2 hours if they already used 70 of them yelling at Allen.

Also, the carolers D2 statistically favored the mafia if they "pre-selected" who they'd sing to during the day. This idea was initially proposed by Gregbot D1 (post #120) and promoted by peace (#297).

On D2, there were 4 town PRs (Santa, Mrs. Claus, 2 random town PRs), 3 carolers, 3 mafia, and a Jester, for a grand total of 11 people.

The only people that could benefit from a carol in this situation were the 2 town PRs and the 3 mafia, because Santa, Mrs. Claus, and the Jester can't receive upgrades and if any caroler was sung to, they would not be able to reach the 3 carolers required for the one-night boost (assuming you can't sing to yourself).

The only favorable outcomes are when a town PR gets buffed. The only unfavorable outcome is when a mafia gets buffed.

Assuming a mafia got lynched D2, there was a 20% chance of a favorable outcome, and 20% unfavorable.
Assuming a PR got lynched D2, there was a 10% chance of a favorable outcome, and a 30% unfavorable.
Assuming a caroler got lynched, there was a 0% chance of a favorable/unfavorable outcome because it would be impossible to get 3 carolers to sing to the same person.

Also, let's assume that if the carolers didn't cooperate then there was basically a 0% chance that town or mafia would be buffed. In the eyes of the mafia, they can either have a 20 or 30% chance of getting buffed (where the carolers cooperate) or a 0% chance. So, if they got the carolers to cooperate, they would be in a better position. Not to mention the fact that on the surface, coordinating the carolers seems like the right thing to do.

Also, if the carolers knew that they could only sing to a PR, the person they picked would probably be killed by the mafia because it is someone the carolers saw as a PR.

In conclusion, there are no reasonable excuses for Gregbot's unvote on peace, and the plan to coordinate the carolers can only be interpreted as having scummy intent (because it favors the mafia). Therefore, Greg must be scum.

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#6 2020-01-01 02:02:22

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

I’m pretty sure Allen is our neutral, so we probably have a Frosty.

I understand that you wanted more information out of Peace, but he didn’t really do anything helpful D2 and I don’t think he would’ve done anything 2 hours before plurality.

The only other thing that’s weird to me is Onjit and Kira’s /s posting, but I think they’re just memers in general.

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#7 2020-01-01 03:45:25

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

You’re talking to the dead, Mutant.

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#8 2020-01-01 18:58:21

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

New Year’s Resolution, I guess.

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#9 2020-01-01 19:09:10

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

GregBot wrote:

If Allen is our neutral lunatic, the second kill must have been done by a Vigilante.

But why would they kill HugoTse and not Allen?

Wasn’t the whole lynch on Peace and Hugo a thing because of how hard Peace defended Hugo? We were under the assumption that if Peace flipped mafia, then so was Hugo.

Also, there’s no need to shoot Allen as long as we don’t lynch him. It would be a waste of kill when the town wins from killing mafia, not the jester. It also helps stop the mafia from getting a majority.

I think the Vig made the right move.

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#10 2020-01-02 17:33:11

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Well there's 12 hours left and I don't want to get plurality lynched.

I claim Angel.

I hope there's not an RB.

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#11 2020-01-02 17:57:58

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

N1 - I protected TNG because there wasn't much information D1, so it was kind of random.
N2 - I protected Onjit because I thought he and Kira were Santa and Mrs. Claus for always riding each others wagons that's what she said.

Before I die, I just want to give a list of reads.
Mutant - bored town because he got caroler role and doesn't want to do much with it (#184).
Onjit - bored town (memeing all game)
Kira - bored town (memeing all game up until now)

ZeldaXD - bored town/maf because they have been silent all day, and the only attacking they've done is on the jester. Because they haven't even tried looking for a mafia, I think they could be one of them.

TNG - mafia/santa. Mafia because he also hasn't been scumhunting, but also because in #269 heheh, nice he defends peace's wild claim that Hugo could be Rudolph. The only reason I think he could be Santa is because #269 could have been a subtle defense for Mrs. Claus. If people believed that Hugo was Rudolph, they would be keeping Mrs. Claus alive.

Greg - mafia. Again because of his unlynch on peace 2 hours before end of day and the coordination of carolers, which gives the mafia a 20% chance of being upgraded instead of the 0% from random. You could argue that town also gets a 20% chance, but town really should be risk-averse and not give the mafia any chance of buffs.

I still have no idea who the vig is, but I assume it's Mutant, Onjit, or Kira. I don't think it matters though when it's more important to find the mafia.

I'm okay with dying today because town can afford a mislynch and a missed shot from vig before it is mylo.

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#12 2020-01-04 07:18:11

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Is this the magic hard-confirm you were talking about Greg? Are you Rudolf?

Also, I protected Mutant last night.

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#13 2020-01-04 07:35:52

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

lynch ZeldaXD

It’s just process of elimination. You’re the person I scumread the most.

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#14 2020-01-04 17:16:54

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Yeah Onjit. In #371, I said already that I protected Mutant.

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#15 2020-01-04 17:19:29

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Hey Zelda, why didn’t you shoot anyone if you’re Frosty?

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#16 2020-01-04 23:17:39

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

ZeldaXD wrote:
Pqwerty wrote:

Hey Zelda, why didn’t you shoot anyone if you’re Frosty?

Because I only have one shoot remaining and there was the possibility of accidentally shooting Santa, you also say that as if it was a requirement for me to shoot someone every night when I didn't shoot anyone N1 either. As evidence of me being Frosty I pushed the angle of letting vigilante get rid of Allen, but when peace flipped mafia I isolated his posts and decided HugoTse was a better shoot.

I thought you would shoot someone because it would be a waste if Vig died with 1 shot left. But you’re right, it’d be better if the Vig got shot than to have the Vig accidentally shooting Santa.

I think it’s between you and Kira.

The main reason I asked “why didn’t you kill someone” is because in #356, Kira has a reason to not shoot someone (because he has no idea who to believe).

Also, #377 would be throwing if he was mafia, right?

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#17 2020-01-05 19:04:46

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

ZeldaXD wrote:

Pqwerty are you going to change your vote? HugoTse are you going to vote?

Yeah. I’ll help Kira end his suffering. If it’s a mislynch, it’s still 5 vs 1 (Allen doesn’t count). But I’m confident it’s between you and Kira.

vote Kira

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#18 2020-01-06 06:33:11

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

Diff, how do I woot a post more than once?

I need to woot the above post at least 12 more times.

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#19 2020-01-07 03:49:12

Pqwerty
Member
From: 'Murica
Joined: 2015-10-09
Posts: 2,078

Re: Mafia 38 - The Twelve Days of Christmas [Game Thread | Town Win!]

GG ig.

MVP goes to Onjit for the assassination and win

This was a tough game considering it felt like everyone gave up. I still tried at one point.
All my reads were wrong but it was still the funnest part with so little information.

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ShadowsEdge1578446447771612

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